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The warning list of products at risk of trade remedy investigations, origin fraud, and illegal transshipment shows that many of Vietnam’s key export sectors are facing increasing risks in major markets such as the United States, the EU, Canada, Australia, Mexico, India, and Indonesia. The products under warning mainly fall into five major groups: wood and wood products, steel and steel products, other metals, materials, and manufactured industrial products.
A common characteristic of these products is their rapid export growth, significant share in the total imports of partner markets, or their similarity to products already subject to trade remedy measures against China and several other countries. This increases the likelihood that Vietnam may become a target of investigations in the near future if export growth continues at the current pace.
The wood and wood products group is emerging as a high-risk sector, particularly in the United States and Canada. Wooden-frame sofas exported to the United States reached a value of USD 3.4 billion in 2025, accounting for more than 54% of total U.S. imports of similar products. Although the United States currently applies trade remedy measures only to China, Vietnam’s rapid growth and large market share significantly increase the risk of anti-dumping or anti-circumvention investigations. The risk is further heightened as several Vietnamese wood products, such as plywood and kitchen cabinets, have previously been investigated.
Upholstered seats exported to Canada are also on the warning list, with export value exceeding USD 180 million in 2025, up more than 44% year-on-year, making Vietnam the third-largest supplier in this market. Although trade remedy measures have already been applied, strong growth suggests that Canada may conduct a review or expand the scope of investigation in the near future. In addition, wooden strips and wood mouldings exported to the United States are under warning due to rising import share and the risk of investigation if Chinese-origin materials are used.
The steel and steel products group has the largest number of items under warning, covering markets such as the EU, Australia, the United States, Mexico, and Canada. In the EU market, products such as cold-rolled flat steel, tinplate, bolts and screws, organic-coated steel, and cold-rolled stainless steel recorded strong export growth in 2025. At the same time, the EU has imposed anti-dumping duties on similar products from China and other countries, making it possible that investigations may be extended to Vietnam if export volumes continue to increase.
In Australia, hot-rolled structural steel, hollow structural sections, and galvanized steel from Vietnam have recorded strong growth and significant import shares, creating risks similar to those faced by countries previously subject to trade remedy measures. Steel exporters to Australia should also pay close attention to the origin of raw materials to avoid anti-circumvention investigations.
In the United States and Mexico, prestressed steel cables, stainless steel flanges, and related steel products are also under warning due to rapid export growth and high import shares. The United States has already imposed multiple trade remedy measures on similar products from various countries, and the possibility of extending investigations to Vietnam remains a risk that needs close monitoring. Carbon welded steel pipes exported to Canada are also considered at risk, as Vietnam has become one of the major suppliers in this market.
The other metals group (excluding steel) also shows several high-growth items. Aluminum extrusions exported to Canada are growing steadily, with Vietnam now the third-largest supplier, increasing the likelihood of investigation if exports continue to rise. Aluminum wires and cables exported to the United States surged by more than 400% in 2025, indicating a high risk of anti-dumping or anti-circumvention investigations in the near future.
Copper pipes exported to Canada are particularly notable, accounting for more than 30% of total imports in this market, with Vietnam as the second-largest supplier. High market share combined with rapid growth is a common trigger for trade remedy investigations.
The materials group continues to face significant risks, especially for products experiencing sharp export increases over a short period. Float glass exports to the United States rose dramatically from a very low level in 2024 to more than USD 90 million in 2025, accounting for over 11% of U.S. imports. In India, Vietnamese float glass also accounts for more than 27% of total imports, indicating a clear risk of trade remedy investigations.
High-tenacity polyester yarn exported to the EU accounts for more than 30% of EU imports, while the EU has already imposed duties on China, increasing the likelihood of investigations into Vietnam. Polyester staple fiber exported to the United States has been investigated in the past and continues to grow strongly, suggesting that the risk of further trade remedy measures remains high.
Crushed glass exported to Indonesia and polyester plastics exported to Mexico are also notable due to their large import shares in partner markets, creating a significant risk of anti-dumping investigations. Enterprises should closely monitor trade policies and strengthen supply chain control to mitigate potential risks.
The manufactured industrial products group also includes several high-risk items. Large-capacity household washing machines exported to the United States have a notable market share and may face investigations if export volumes increase again. Truck and bus tires exported to the United States and the EU are growing strongly, while these markets have already imposed trade remedy measures on China and several other countries, increasing the likelihood of investigations against Vietnam.
Hand pallet trucks and steel wind towers exported to the EU are also under warning due to rising export value and Vietnam’s expanding market share. As market share grows rapidly, the probability of trade remedy investigations typically increases.
Overall, the warning list reflects a rising trend of trade remedy risks for Vietnam’s exports, as major markets are tightening import controls and expanding anti-dumping, countervailing, and anti-circumvention measures. Products with rapid export growth, large market share, or links to raw materials from countries already subject to duties are particularly vulnerable to investigations.
Therefore, exporting enterprises should proactively monitor trade policies in importing markets, strictly control the origin of raw materials, ensure supply chain transparency, prepare comprehensive data and documentation, and diversify export markets. Early risk prevention will help minimize exposure to trade remedy investigations, origin fraud allegations, and illegal transshipment risks in an increasingly competitive and tightly regulated global trade environment.
To protect their legitimate interests, manufacturers and exporters should familiarize themselves with the procedure and actively contact Vietnam Antidumping Law Firm specializing in anti-dumping and trade remedy for timely assistance.
ASL Law is a leading full-service and independent Vietnamese law firm made up of experienced and talented lawyers. ASL Law is ranked as the top tier Law Firm in Vietnam by Legal500, Asia Law, WTR, and Asia Business Law Journal. Based in both Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City in Vietnam, the firm’s main purpose is to provide the most practical, efficient and lawful advice to its domestic and international clients. If we can be of assistance, please email to [email protected].
ASL LAW is the top-tier Vietnam law firm for Anti-dumping & countervailing. If you need any advice, please contact us for further information or collaboration.
